Missouri last frost

Last Frost Dates were calculated using daily climate data from the period between 1991-2020. Related Pages List of Average Last Frost Dates for Locations in Missouri

Missouri last frost. The state of Missouri might be best known for the cities on either side: St. Louis to the east and Kansas City to the west. The country-music mecca of Branson is in the southern pa...

Map and charts for the last average dates for killing frost in the United States, zone temperature ranges and temperature conversion table. The Garden Helper Basics. Gardening for Beginners. ... Columbia, Missouri; Mansfield, Pennsylvania 6a -10 to -5 F -20.6 to -23.3 C ...

According to the 2023 USDA Hardiness Zone Map Branson, Missouri is in Zones 7a (0°F to 5°F). This is a change from the 2012 USDA Hardiness Zone Map which has Branson in Zones 6b (-5°F to 0°F). Hardiness Zones for BransonMissouri.Maybe he’s the boy in a downpour that Robert Frost describes, holding his hands out for someone to believe in him? Elon Musk is invoking the spirit of a dead poet to help him bore....You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 15. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 26. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Similarly, the last spring frost occurs over northern and central Missouri by the third and second week of April, respectively. Frosts are more likely to be experienced earlier in the fall or later in the spring over the Ozarks when compared to central Missouri.According to the 2023 USDA Hardiness Zone Map Branson, Missouri is in Zones 7a (0°F to 5°F). This is a change from the 2012 USDA Hardiness Zone Map which has Branson in Zones 6b (-5°F to 0°F). Hardiness Zones for BransonMissouri.This guide provides frost/freeze probabilities, tables, maps and dates for 103 National Weather Service Cooperative (NWSC) weather stations in Missouri. The information was obtained from the National … A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and …

About Frost Maps. Plantmaps maintains Frost data and maps for many regions on the earth. We've created Average First Frost Dates, Average Last Frost Dates and Average Number of days with Frost maps for most US States and Candian Provinces. Plantmaps also created maps for many countries around the world that are in latitudes where frost …Map and charts for the last average dates for killing frost in the United States, zone temperature ranges and temperature conversion table. The Garden Helper Basics. Gardening for Beginners. ... Columbia, Missouri; Mansfield, Pennsylvania 6a -10 to -5 F -20.6 to -23.3 C ...Jan 12, 2024 ... Knowing your last frost date is an important tool when it comes to the garden. Some plants like to be planted in cooler temperatures while ...If you’ve ever tried your hand at baking, you know that a delicious buttercream frosting can take your cakes, cupcakes, and cookies to the next level. But for beginners, the though...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 18. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 30. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.MU Extension guide lists first, last frost dates by region. Mar 25, 2021. Map courtesy University of Missouri Extension. COLUMBIA, Mo. — Spring and fall can be anxious times for farmers. At the beginning of the growing season, you want to start as early as possible, and at the end you hope for a few extra harvest days.

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.Food stamp benefits generally last 12 months, according to the Missouri Department of Social Services. For households with disabled or elderly members who have no earned income, th...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. A light frost is when temperatures are between 29°–32°F. During a light frost, tender plants may be killed, with little destructive effect on hardier vegetation. The probability of a frost occurring after the spring date or before the fall frost date listed below is 30%, which means that a frost could occur before or after the dates listed. Additional Gardening Related Climate Data for ZIP Code 63123 - Saint Louis, Missouri. 2023 Hardiness Zone: Zone 7a: 0°F to 5°F. 2012 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6a: -10°F to -5°F. Zone 6b: -5°F to 0°F. 1990 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6a: -10F to -5F.

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Planting Guides for Missouri. This is your list of cities in Missouri. Missouri has a range of climates spanning from as cold as Zone 5b to as warm as Zone 7a. If the city you are looking for is not in this list you can view the zone map for Missouri to get a good idea of the zones in your area, and then click on one of the zone links below. The guide is also available as a free downloadable PDF.Both provide frost and freeze probabilities, tables, maps and dates for the 103 National Weather Service cooperative weather stations in Missouri, said MU Extension climatologist Pat Guinan.The National Centers for Environmental Information provides information based on data for …A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Oct 4. Oct 9. Oct 12. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 28. Nov 3. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for St Louis Sci Ctr, MO to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!Apr 13, 2018 · An online resource from University of Missouri Extension makes it easier to estimate first and last frost dates for your area. The Missouri Frost/Freeze Probabilities Guide is available at ipm.missouri.edu/frostfreezeguide.

As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Marshall, MO start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 1, and by October 29 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.Here are the average last frost dates, average first frost dates, average days in the growing season, and USDA zone for several cities in the United States, Canada, and other parts of the world. United States. State and city Last frost First frost Days Zone. Alabama. Birmingham March 19 November 14 241 7B.First, plan for frosts. Contact your local weather bureau to find out the average first fall frost and last spring frost for your area. In St. Louis, these dates are October 15 and April 15 respectively. These dates will help you judge planting and harvesting dates so you can plan for frost protection. Remember, these are only averages.Average yields are 1,000 to 1,500 dozen ears per acre in Missouri. Sweet corn is harvested every three or four days. An access lane (every 12th row) makes harvesting and spraying sweet corn easier. Sweet corn is sold by the count and for wholesale markets in wire-bound crates or bags containing 48 to 60 ears.Lee's Summit, Missouri Hardiness Zones. According to the 2023 USDA Hardiness Zone Map Lee's Summit, Missouri is in Zones 6b (-5°F to 0°F). This is a change from the 2012 USDA Hardiness Zone Map which has Lee's Summit in Zones 6a (-10°F to -5°F). Hardiness Zones for Lee's SummitMissouri.If you’re getting ready to take your road signs test in Missouri, it’s important to be well-prepared. Understanding the different road signs and their meanings is crucial for safe ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 6. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 16. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 27. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Oct 3. Oct 7. Oct 11. Oct 14. Oct 17. Oct 20. Oct 24. Oct 30. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Independence, Missouri to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 3. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 13. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 6. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 16. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 27. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. The median date point maps provide the last spring and first fall median frost/freeze dates for specific temperature thresholds, i.e.36°F, 32°F, 28°F and 24°F. In this application, median date is defined as the date where there is a 50% chance a specified frost/freeze temperature will occur before or after the designated date.

You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 28. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 6. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

Oct 4. Oct 9. Oct 12. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 28. Nov 3. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for St Louis Sci Ctr, MO to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.About Frost Maps. Plantmaps maintains Frost data and maps for many regions on the earth. We've created Average First Frost Dates, Average Last Frost Dates and Average Number of days with Frost maps for most US States and Candian Provinces. Plantmaps also created maps for many countries around the world that are in latitudes where frost …You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 13. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 24. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 3. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Calculate how much you'll pay in property taxes on your home, given your location and assessed home value. Compare your rate to the Missouri and U.S. average. The average effective...Oct 9. Oct 13. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 24. Oct 29. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Lamar, MO to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!

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Avoid the use of plastic for frost protection on plants. Mike Hogan is extension educator, agriculture and natural resources and associate professor with Ohio State …You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 9. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 23. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 6. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Oct 4. Oct 9. Oct 12. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 28. Nov 3. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for St Louis Sci Ctr, MO to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!The frost line depth varies by geographical location, but frost lines in the contiguous United States range from 6 inches to 6 feet. Local government building officials can provide...last spring and first fall frost dates for Missouri to help you in making your plant-sensitive management deci-sions. Typically, the first fall frost (temperature of 32 degrees F or lower) occurs over northern and cen-tral Missouri by the second or third week of October, respectively. Similarly, the last spring frost occurs over You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 14. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 11. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.Planting Dates for Spring. On average, your last spring frost occurs on April 17 (at MEXICO, MO climate station, elevation 800 feet). Crop. Based on Frost Dates Based on Moon Dates. Start Seeds Indoors. Plant Seedlings or Transplants. Start Seeds Outdoors. Last Date to Plant. Arugula. ….

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.sage. spinach. sugar snap peas. Swiss chard. thyme. winter peas. Here are planting guides for my absolute favorites on this list: arugula, cilantro, kale, radishes, sugar snap peas, and spinach. Don't forget to add some cold-hardy flowers like pansies or snapdragons in your garden to attract pollinators for your peas.Buttercream frosting does not need to be refrigerated if used within two to three days. However, it keeps for up to two weeks if stored in the refrigerator in an airtight container...Buttercream frosting does not need to be refrigerated if used within two to three days. However, it keeps for up to two weeks if stored in the refrigerator in an airtight container...Additional Gardening Related Climate Data for ZIP Code 65616 - Branson, Missouri. 2023 Hardiness Zone: Zone 7a: 0°F to 5°F. 2012 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6b: -5°F to 0°F. 1990 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6b: -5F to 0F. Average First Frost Date: October 11 - 20.SeniorsMobility provides the best information to seniors on how they can stay active, fit, and healthy. We provide resources such as exercises for seniors, where to get mobility ai...MU Extension guide lists first, last frost dates by region. Mar 25, 2021. Map courtesy University of Missouri Extension. COLUMBIA, Mo. — Spring and fall can be anxious times for farmers. At the beginning of the growing season, you want to start as early as possible, and at the end you hope for a few extra harvest days.Oct 5. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 16. Oct 21. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Columbia, Missouri to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! Last Frost Dates were calculated using daily climate data from the period between 1991-2020. Related Pages List of Average Last Frost Dates for Locations in Missouri First, plan for frosts. Contact your local weather bureau to find out the average first fall frost and last spring frost for your area. In St. Louis, these dates are October 15 and April 15 respectively. These dates will help you judge planting and harvesting dates so you can plan for frost protection. Remember, these are only averages. Missouri last frost, Irene asks, "When can hostas be divided and transplanted?"The best time to divide and transplant hostas is in August or September, about a month before your first frost date. Read ..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Morrisville, Missouri start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 22, and by October 22 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., Last Frost Dates were calculated using daily climate data from the period between 1991-2020. Related Pages List of Average Last Frost Dates for Locations in Missouri , Here is some general info for USDA zone 6b to help you get started. Average Date of Last Frost (spring) April 15. Average Date of First Frost (fall) October 15. Lowest Expected Low. -5°F. Highest Expected Low. 0°F., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 14. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., Our frost date calculator will tell you precisely when your garden is at risk for frost. Enter your zipcode and we'll give you all the info we have., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 12. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 22. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 1. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., Additional Gardening Related Climate Data for ZIP Code 64118 - Kansas City, Missouri. 2023 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6b: -5°F to 0°F. 2012 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6a: -10°F to -5°F. Zone 6b: -5°F to 0°F. 1990 Hardiness Zone: Zone 1b: -15F to …, As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for clinton, mo start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 1, and by October 28 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 9. Oct 11. Oct 14. Oct 17. Oct 22. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Springfield, Missouri to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, Nov 1, 2018 · This guide provides frost/freeze probabilities, tables, maps and dates for 103 National Weather Service Cooperative (NWSC) weather stations in Missouri. The information was obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Information and is based on data for the 30-year period 1981–2010. The median date point maps provide the last spring ... , A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., The Bank of Missouri credit card reviews, rates, rewards and fees. Compare The Bank of Missouri credit cards to other cards and find the best card Please find below credit cards of..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 20. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. , You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 14. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., Sep 21. Sep 24. Sep 27. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 7. Oct 12. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Spickard, MO to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, Oct 25, 2023 ... 21 votes, 41 comments. Whenever I start planting in spring I always feel like I am guessing when the last of the frost is., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 13. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 27. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 3. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., Additional Gardening Related Climate Data for ZIP Code 65041 - Hermann, Missouri. 2023 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6a: -10°F to -5°F. Zone 6b: -5°F to 0°F. 2012 Hardiness Zone: Zone 6a: -10°F to -5°F. Zone 5b: -15°F to -10°F. 1990 Hardiness Zone: Zone 1b: -15F to -10F., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 12. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 25. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 6. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., Nov 16. Nov 21. Nov 25. Nov 30. Dec 5. Dec 13. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Missouri City, Texas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., Climate Averages, Frost Dates, Hardiness Zones and Drought Conditions for Urbana Missouri. Plantmaps.com. About; Data and Maps. ... Average First Frost Date: Oct. 11 - Oct. 20: Average Last Frost Date: May 1 - May 10: Average Days With Frost: 75-100 Days: Plant Hardiness Zone - 2023: Zone 6b : -5°F to 0°F: Plant Hardiness Zone - 2012:, According to the 2023 USDA Hardiness Zone Map Branson, Missouri is in Zones 7a (0°F to 5°F). This is a change from the 2012 USDA Hardiness Zone Map which has Branson in Zones 6b (-5°F to 0°F). Hardiness Zones for BransonMissouri., Plattsburg, MO. Paola, KS. Lawrence, KS. Oskaloosa, KS. Atchison, KS. Lexington, MO. Perry Lake, KS., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 20. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.